Meanwhile, coronavirus cases across the globe surged past 10 million, a chilling reminder that the deadliest pandemic of the modern era is stronger than ever.
The milestone is a rebuff to health experts and global leaders — including U.S. President Donald Trump — who had hoped early in the pandemic that the virus would fade away with the summer heat. Instead, infections are multiplying faster than ever.
It took four months after the pathogen first surfaced in the Chinese city of Wuhan to reach 1 million infections. The spread of the coronavirus has steadily accelerated, compressing the time frame to a million additional cases every week now. The latest milestone may serve only as a relative marker, as the true number is likely to be higher given the difficulty of tracking infections.
The daily official count reached 150,000 cases in mid-June, prompting World Health Organization director-general, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus to warn that the pandemic has entered “a new and dangerous phase.”
The death toll is equally sobering — at almost 500,000 — and some health officials predict 1 million fatalities may not be far off. “We haven’t seen the end of Covid-19, and we haven’t seen the full scope of it yet, either,” said Ali Mokdad, professor of health metrics sciences at the University of Washington in Seattle. “This will be as dangerous as the Spanish flu in many ways,” he said, referring to the 1918 pandemic that infected an estimated 500 million people.
The global epicenter of the coronavirus is continuing to shift. First it was China, then Europe, and now developing countries with weaker health-care systems like Brazil and India are reeling. Since late March, the U.S. has had the most cases globally and is still adding infections at a record daily pace as states like Texas, Arizona, and Florida are overwhelmed, forced to reverse plans to open their economies.
Governments are increasingly accepting there may be no quick return to life before the pandemic, as economies have been battered by prevention measures that restricted people’s movements and damped consumption.
“You will see the long impact of Covid-19 above and beyond the mortality we are counting right now,” said Mokdad. “Already the impact on our economies means that one year from now there will be less aid to poor countries, less money to buy vaccines or HIV medicines.”