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Nigeria-UK Trade Dips 25% In Q1 2024 Amid Export Slump

by Taiwo Bakare
1 year ago
in Lead-In
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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Nigeria’s trade with the United Kingdom recorded a sharp decline of 25 per cent in the first quarter of 2024, dropping from N602.36 billion in Q1 2023 to N451.45 billion, according to the latest data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The significant year-on-year decrease reflects a challenging period despite the naira’s devaluation, which typically boosts export competitiveness. Imports from the UK also saw a slight decline from N186.99 billion in Q4 2023 to N183.34 billion in Q1 2024, marking a 2 per cent decrease quarter-on-quarter but a 25 per cent increase year-on-year.

Exports, however, took a harder hit, plummeting from N335.8 billion in Q4 2023 to N268.11 billion in Q1 2024, representing a 20 per cent decrease quarter-on-quarter and a staggering 41 per cent decline compared to Q1 2023.

The UK remained a significant destination for Nigerian re-exports, including tools, iron/steel articles, and household items, amounting to millions in Q1 2024. Conversely, Nigerian exports to the UK featured items like food preparations valued at N1.8 billion.

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The downturn in trade coincided with the UK’s efforts to navigate an economic slowdown, with GDP contracting by 0.3 per cent in Q4 2023 before modestly recovering by 0.6 per cent in Q1 2024. Challenges also arose from revised visa policies affecting international students, potentially impacting sectors like education and services.

Despite these setbacks, the UK and Nigeria explored new economic partnerships in energy, legal, and financial services sectors during the period under review.

In contrast, Nigeria announced a $3.5 billion agreement with Afreximbank aimed at revitalising its textile industry, promoting CNG vehicles, and bolstering other sectors, underscoring efforts to diversify and strengthen its economy.

The agreement, signed during the 31st Afreximbank Annual Meeting in Nassau, Bahamas, reflects Nigeria’s commitment to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s economic vision, highlighting prospects for industrialisation, regional development, and global investment confidence.

The move is set to inject vitality into Nigeria’s industrial landscape, create employment opportunities, and foster sustainable economic growth, signaling optimism amid challenging global trade dynamics.

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Providus Bank has acquired the 34% equity stake held by the Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria (AMCON) in Unity Bank Plc, marking a decisive step toward the long-anticipated merger between the two financial institutions. The deal, valued at about N6.5 billion, saw AMCON offload its decade-old holding in Unity Bank to Providus at a price of N3.18 per share, representing a 110per cent premium to the bank’s prevailing market value of N1.50 on the Nigerian Exchange. Industry analysts said the transaction signals a turning point for Unity Bank, which has faced prolonged struggles with weak capitalisation, rising non-performing loans, and declining market relevance. By transferring AMCON’s strategic stake, they noted, Providus has strengthened its hand as it pushes for regulatory approvals to consummate a full merger. AMCON acquired its Unity Bank stake during the 2011–2012 banking sector clean-up after the global financial crisis exposed balance sheet vulnerabilities across second-tier lenders. Its divestment, according to banking sources, underscores the corporation’s gradual exit from long-held equity positions as it focuses on recovering toxic assets and reducing its systemic footprint. “AMCON’s sale to Providus is significant not just for Unity Bank but for the entire financial system,” said a Lagos-based investment banker. “It shows the government is serious about cleaning up legacy interventions while paving the way for stronger private-sector-led banks.” Unity Bank shareholders are set to benefit from the deal’s pricing structure. At N3.18 per share, Providus’ offer more than doubles the bank’s trading value, giving investors a rare premium exit in a market where bank stocks often trade at steep discounts. For minority shareholders, the merger if approvedcould also unlock value by combining Providus’ niche strength in corporate banking and digital services with Unity Bank’s broader retail and SME base. Providus, one of Nigeria’s fastest-growing mid-tier lenders, is widely seen as using the Unity Bank deal to accelerate its ambition of achieving national bank status. By absorbing Unity’s branch network and customer base, the lender would scale its operations beyond its current limited licence, positioning itself to compete more aggressively with tier-one institutions.  “The synergies are clear,” said a senior Unity Bank executive familiar with the talks. “Providus brings balance sheet strength and digital innovation, while Unity offers reach and brand equity, especially in northern Nigeria.”  Following AMCON’s divestment, the proposed merger will be subject to approval from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and Unity Bank shareholders. Both banks are expected to present a detailed merger scheme in the coming months, outlining share swap ratios, post-merger governance, and capital plans.  Market watchers say regulatory scrutiny will focus on whether the combined entity meets CBN’s revised recapitalisation thresholds, which mandate higher minimum capital bases for Nigerian banks.  The Providus–Unity transaction comes amid a wave of consolidation moves triggered by the CBN’s ongoing recapitalisation drive. Several lenders are exploring mergers, acquisitions, or fresh capital injections to meet compliance deadlines ahead of 2026.  “This is the first big-ticket transaction of the recapitalisation era,” said a financial markets analyst. “It won’t be the last.”
Lead-In

Providus Bank has acquired the 34% equity stake held by the Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria (AMCON) in Unity Bank Plc, marking a decisive step toward the long-anticipated merger between the two financial institutions. The deal, valued at about N6.5 billion, saw AMCON offload its decade-old holding in Unity Bank to Providus at a price of N3.18 per share, representing a 110per cent premium to the bank’s prevailing market value of N1.50 on the Nigerian Exchange. Industry analysts said the transaction signals a turning point for Unity Bank, which has faced prolonged struggles with weak capitalisation, rising non-performing loans, and declining market relevance. By transferring AMCON’s strategic stake, they noted, Providus has strengthened its hand as it pushes for regulatory approvals to consummate a full merger. AMCON acquired its Unity Bank stake during the 2011–2012 banking sector clean-up after the global financial crisis exposed balance sheet vulnerabilities across second-tier lenders. Its divestment, according to banking sources, underscores the corporation’s gradual exit from long-held equity positions as it focuses on recovering toxic assets and reducing its systemic footprint. “AMCON’s sale to Providus is significant not just for Unity Bank but for the entire financial system,” said a Lagos-based investment banker. “It shows the government is serious about cleaning up legacy interventions while paving the way for stronger private-sector-led banks.” Unity Bank shareholders are set to benefit from the deal’s pricing structure. At N3.18 per share, Providus’ offer more than doubles the bank’s trading value, giving investors a rare premium exit in a market where bank stocks often trade at steep discounts. For minority shareholders, the merger if approvedcould also unlock value by combining Providus’ niche strength in corporate banking and digital services with Unity Bank’s broader retail and SME base. Providus, one of Nigeria’s fastest-growing mid-tier lenders, is widely seen as using the Unity Bank deal to accelerate its ambition of achieving national bank status. By absorbing Unity’s branch network and customer base, the lender would scale its operations beyond its current limited licence, positioning itself to compete more aggressively with tier-one institutions. “The synergies are clear,” said a senior Unity Bank executive familiar with the talks. “Providus brings balance sheet strength and digital innovation, while Unity offers reach and brand equity, especially in northern Nigeria.” Following AMCON’s divestment, the proposed merger will be subject to approval from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and Unity Bank shareholders. Both banks are expected to present a detailed merger scheme in the coming months, outlining share swap ratios, post-merger governance, and capital plans. Market watchers say regulatory scrutiny will focus on whether the combined entity meets CBN’s revised recapitalisation thresholds, which mandate higher minimum capital bases for Nigerian banks. The Providus–Unity transaction comes amid a wave of consolidation moves triggered by the CBN’s ongoing recapitalisation drive. Several lenders are exploring mergers, acquisitions, or fresh capital injections to meet compliance deadlines ahead of 2026. “This is the first big-ticket transaction of the recapitalisation era,” said a financial markets analyst. “It won’t be the last.”

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