The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) stated that the crisis in the country’s foreign exchange (forex) market has pushed local manufacturers’ costs of operation and production up between 30 and 100 per cent.
Consequently, the association noted that, many businesses are suffering serious dislocation as a consequence of foreign exchange liquidity challenges, volatility and the depreciation of the currency.
The director-general of MAN, Segun Ajayi-Kadir, noted that, these have severely affected businesses across all sectors of the economy, mostly in the manufacturing sector.
Ajayi-Kadir pointed out that the costs of operation and production which is now between 30 and 100 per cent, shows that the productive arm of the economy is only operating on handbrake.
According to him, the straits in the country’s forex market has also invariably affected output in many industries because of the challenges of accessing raw materials. He stated that, many players in the economy now resort to the patronage of the parallel market at very prohibitive cost, as very little access exists on the official window.
“The sharp depreciation of the exchange rate and the parallel market which is over 300 per cent has worsened the profitability of investments. The capacity to retain employment and the capacity to create new jobs have been greatly endangered because of the foreign exchange crisis.
“The dysfunctional foreign exchange policy has negatively impacted Foreign Direct Investment, Foreign Portfolio Investment as well as other capital inflows into the country. The multiple exchange rates and the huge parallel market premium in the forex market remain major downside risks to investment growth and attraction of foreign capital into the economy. This has continued to weaken the supply side of the foreign exchange market,” he pointed out.
On the sharp decline in the capital importation in recent years, Ajayi-Kadir pointed out that the inability of foreign investors to repatriate their profits and dividends as well as incomes has created reputational and country risk issues for the economy, adding that, all these have been responsible for the sharp decline in the capital importation in recent years.
The implications of the foreign exchange crisis for the investors, he listed, were: high cost of production because of the high import dependence of the manufacturing sector on imported raw materials; high operating costs across businesses in practically all sectors of the economy; low sales and turnover because of the increase in price and effect on demand; erosion of profit margins because not all the additional costs can be passed on to consumers and more.
The chief executive officer, Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE), Dr Muda Yusuf, noted that the fiscal outlook is clouded by elevated downside risks in the near term, driven largely by the huge burden of financing petrol subsidy, fiscal leakages and unsustainable public debt trajectory.
He said the outlook poses significant risks to macroeconomic stability amid heightened inflationary pressures, depreciating currency and increasing exchange rate volatility.